Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5378
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5378 · DEN → FSD
departs 1:40 PM MT · arrives 4:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Wed 9/30 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FSD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.