Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5416
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5416 · ORD → SUN
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 6:58 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SUN more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SUN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to SUN?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SUN
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.86 in
SUN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.