Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5434
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5434 · JAX → ORD
departs 11:33 AM ET · arrives 1:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.90 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.