Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5505
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5505 · ORD → SBN
departs 3:35 PM CT · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±10 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at SBN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SBN that day
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
SBN (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.