OO 5846 · OTH → DEN

departs 12:40 PM PT · arrives 4:40 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at OTH that day

Weather at each end

OTH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5846 · OTH → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?