Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5846 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5846 · OTH → DEN

departs 12:40 PM PT · arrives 4:40 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from OTH are often late

↓ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OTH (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5846 · OTH → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?