Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6200
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6200 · ORD → BNA
departs 1:45 PM CT · arrives 3:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from ORD are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.48 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.