Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6200 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 6200 · ORD → BNA

departs 1:45 PM CT · arrives 3:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,067 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.20 in

BNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,467 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6200 · ORD → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?