Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6204
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6204 · OKC → ORD
departs 11:04 AM CT · arrives 1:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.60 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.