Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6204
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6204 · ORD → OKC
departs 8:16 AM CT · arrives 10:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 867 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.86 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 1.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.