Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6204 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 6204 · ORD → OKC

departs 8:16 AM CT · arrives 10:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at OKC that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.20 in

OKC (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6204 · ORD → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?