Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6204
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6204 · ORD → OKC
departs 8:16 AM CT · arrives 10:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 35%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.09 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.