Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6212
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
OO 6212 · ORD → FWA
departs 10:37 PM CT · arrives 12:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 31%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 34%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
72%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
50%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
FWA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 8.8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.