Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6212 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 6212 · ORD → FWA

departs 10:37 PM CT · arrives 12:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,833 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.17 in

FWA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6212 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?