Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6411 · IDA → ORD
departs 12:53 PM MT · arrives 5:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 9/30 50%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave IDA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IDA
Weather at each end
IDA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.