Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6412
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6412 · CLT → SHV
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 9:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SHV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SHV?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SHV (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.