OO 6481 · ORD → OKC

departs 4:16 PM CT · arrives 6:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.96 in

OKC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6481 · ORD → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?