Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1169 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

UA 1169 · HNL → LAX

departs 9:40 PM HT · arrives 6:03 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1169 · HNL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?