UA 1891 · DEN → PNS

departs 11:21 AM MT · arrives 3:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1891 · DEN → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?