Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2854SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
UA 2854 · SFO → PHL
departs 11:20 PM PT · arrives 7:50 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±0 pts+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.