tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2861 SCHEDULED

UA 2861 · SFO → IAD

departs 6:45 AM PT · arrives 3:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.