UA 445 · DEN → MIA

departs 4:12 PM MT · arrives 10:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

MIA (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 445 · DEN → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?