WN 1005 · BWI → GRR

departs 11:01 AM ET · arrives 12:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.80 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1005 · BWI → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?