WN 1071 · BWI → MDW

departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 10:10 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip1.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1071 · BWI → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?