Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1081
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 1081 · BWI → ROC
departs 10:55 PM ET · arrives 12:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ROC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROC?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
ROC (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 2.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.