Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1447
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 1447 · DCA → MDW
departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 8:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 63% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 967 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.