WN 1566 · DCA → MCI

departs 5:59 AM ET · arrives 7:44 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ DCA is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DCA are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1566 · DCA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?