Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1650
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 1650 · DEN → OAK
departs 10:10 PM MT · arrives 11:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 41%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
55%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
55%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.