WN 16 · HOU → DAL

departs 10:01 AM CT · arrives 11:15 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
37%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.73 in

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 16 · HOU → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?