Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 16
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 16 · HOU → DAL
departs 10:25 AM CT · arrives 11:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 10/3
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.50 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.