Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2035
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2035 · HOU → MCO
departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 4,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.