Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2035 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2035 · HOU → MCO

departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.37 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2035 · HOU → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?