Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2123
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2123 · MCO → MCI
departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 5:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 42%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.