Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2123 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2123 · MCO → MCI

departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 5:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

MCI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2123 · MCO → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?