Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2190
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2190 · HOU → LGA
departs 5:25 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 44%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 53% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
HOU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.