Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2190 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2190 · HOU → LGA

departs 5:25 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 53% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ HOU usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.29 in

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2190 · HOU → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?