Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 22
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 22 · HOU → DAL
departs 11:30 AM CT · arrives 12:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 21%
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+29 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 78% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
34%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.73 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 3.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.