Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2402
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2402 · LAX → HOU
departs 11:40 PM PT · arrives 5:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at LAX that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.