Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2476
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 2476 · LGB → AUS
departs 12:35 PM PT · arrives 5:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LGB that day
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.