Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2607
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2607 · MCO → BNA
departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 8:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 51%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.11 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.