Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2659
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2659 · MCO → MDW
departs 6:10 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.11 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.