Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2659 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2659 · MCO → MDW

departs 6:10 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

MDW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2659 · MCO → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?