Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2679
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2679 · PHL → STL
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 24%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.