Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2679 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2679 · PHL → STL

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2679 · PHL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?