Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 270
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 270 · AUS → CMH
departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 2:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 9/30 24%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3 7%
Mon 10/5 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 1.00 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.