Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 270 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 270 · AUS → CMH

departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 2:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CMH that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

↓ 10am departures from AUS are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.52 in

CMH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 270 · AUS → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?