Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2710
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2710 · MCO → SRQ
departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 44%
Fri 10/9 31%
Sun 10/11 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −23 pts in 24h
−23 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.