Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2901
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
WN 2901 · STL → MIA
departs 12:45 PM CT · arrives 4:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 42%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,420 ft Visibility 4.4 mi Precip 0.12 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.