WN 295 · DCA → DAL

departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 11:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 295 · DCA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?