Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2961
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
WN 2961 · MDW → DAL
departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 8:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 60%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 72% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 65% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 967 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.18 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 3.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.